Archive for October, 2007

Money and Happiness

Posted in Opinions You Would Agree With If You Weren\'t An Idiot on October 31, 2007 by themaroon

Neat article in Newsweek about whether or not money buys happiness. While I don’t totally disagree with its conclusions, I also don’t totally agree with them, and I definitely don’t agree with their methodology.

They measured people’s happiness by asking them, on a scale of 1-10, how happy they are. That’s probably the worst method possible. People have no more ability to judge their own happiness than they do their own looks, or their ability to drive. Hell, if you want to do a fun experiment I invented long ago, go around and ask people to merely define happiness. Pretty much everyone starts stammering.

I definitely believe that money must have declining marginal utility. Having been through it, I can say that going from a negative income to a positive one is a pretty big jump, and getting to the point where money ceases to be a concern is a smaller but still noticeable increase as well. And I can only posit that both are far larger than the happiness gained by an increase from a few million in the bank to a few billion.

But I’d still wager that, by any objective measure, your average billionaire is a little happier than your average millionaire. If not, they would simply give away money until they were just a millionaire (who just gave a ridiculously large sum to the needy, which certainly has to make one feel better than a millionaire who didn’t) and you never see any of them do that.

The fact that guys like Bill Gates often give massive amounts to charity (him more than most of course) would seem to indicate that the indirect joy of making life better for others greatly outweighs the joy of having a few extra billion dollars. But the fact that none of them ever do so to the point of poverty, or even to the point of mere upper middle classness, would seem to indicate that there is some nontrivial amount of happiness in that extra money.

A much better methodology would be to find some objective measures of happiness and then compare. For instance, do a survey to see if rich people are less likely to take anti-depressants than the middle class. That particular one is probably bad measure, since they’re more able to afford that sort of thing, but there has to be some such quantifiable, objective metric or group of metrics that is much more accurate than asking people how happy they are.

Civil Service

Posted in Stupid Shit I Found On The Web on October 20, 2007 by themaroon

Here’s another nugget from Hacker News about a man with an egg-sized brain. Due to some medical conditions I’m unable to understand his brain was shrunk, but somehow his IQ remains at 75, leaving him able to function almost normally.

Least surprising part of the article: the guy with a tiny brain and IQ almost 2 standard deviations below the norm works as a civil servant. It doesn’t specify, but I’m guessing he works at the BMV.

Pollution Isn't All Bad

Posted in Stupid Shit I Found On The Web on October 20, 2007 by themaroon

Interesting article (found through Hacker News) suggesting that pollution may cause a disproportionately large number of children to be born female. Who knew that’s all it took to improve the ratio? Living in Silicon Valley, which may be the world’s largest sausage party, this actually inspires hope.

Pardon me while I Google for a lake to pour this motor oil into.

Finally

Posted in TV, Movies, Music, and Why They All Suck on October 19, 2007 by themaroon

Every now and then someone unexpectedly gets it. It’s taken the TV industry a very long time, but it’s finally happened. I guess it’s no surprise that it was The Daily Show, since they have a long history of getting it where others don’t.

Their new site is finally taking television to the web the right way. You can view every show ever broadcast. You can search by guest. You can embed clips.
Here’s Demetri Martin on the ViaCom/YouTube suit, which I posted long ago on YouTube only to be removed:

Advice for Y Combinator Interviewees

Posted in Startup on October 19, 2007 by themaroon

So Y Combinator has made their first decision and if you applied, you know by now whether or not you’ll be heading to Cambridge (or is it Mountain View?) for an interview. I remember that day well. For those of you who didn’t make it, don’t despair. As Jessica says here, it doesn’t mean a lot. You probably got more value out of just filling out the application than you would have doing anything else with the time.

I gave a few tips to applicants a couple months back, so I’ll continue with some thoughts for those who got the interview. I’m 1 and 0, but I’ve got a small sample size, so take it for what it’s worth.

1. Start working on your demo immediately. We actually didn’t even get a chance to show ours, but from talking to everyone else it turned out that that was an anomaly. It was a good thing too; ours was probably rather unimpressive, since it was more of a visualization than an actual demo. We made it only to help us explain exactly how different we would be than the competition.

2. Relax. You’ll get a lot of points if you aren’t nervous. And really, you have nothing to be nervous about. If their acceptance criteria are the same as last time, you have a really high chance of getting accepted. You’re basically in unless you mess it up, so just look at it as an enjoyable afternoon hanging out with Paul and Jessica.

They just kept all of the ones they liked last time. I think it was 19 out of 54, but I could wrong there. so you might think you only have roughly a 1 in 3 shot. But if they keep everyone they like, and they like you, then you have a 100% shot. So just go make them like you. Like most investors, they want to.

I had pretty much decided going in that it didn’t matter if I got accepted or not, it was well worth the trip either way. You’re going to get some valuable feedback on your idea, business model, etc. It’s well worth a plane ride. So just go enjoy meeting the guy whose essays you’ve been reading for years and getting some great feedback.

3. Be open minded but not a push over. This is just good business practice in general. Y Combinator looks at your idea only as proof that you’re capable of a good one, and since you got the interview, you’ve already got that box checked off.

It’s not set in stone though, you can work on it between now and then, let it evolve and improve. A few groups in our batch ended up doing something totally unrelated to what they interviewed with. In fact, my favorite of the other 18 did. Just show them the problem you’ve found and how you intend to fix it. If your solution isn’t fully developed yet that’s ok too, show them your new way of thinking about the problem and some of the potential fixes consistent with that.

But, while being flexible, don’t be weak. They’re going to put your idea, and you, through the mental wringer. They’re going to ask you questions you haven’t thought of before. I prepared very diligently for our interview, and left wondering what had hit me. I got asked whether I was worried about the mafia. Seriously.

Be prepared to defend the parts of your idea that you’re fairly certain of. Don’t be a pushover. In fact, I think one of the Xobnis told me beforehand to “push back” if you feel you’re being pushed around. Every person you meet over the next few years is going to tell you how they view your business and what direction you should go in, what features you should implement. If you changed your idea every time you’d never get anywhere, so you never want any investor to think you’re that guy. Don’t be obstinate, but don’t be a wimp.

4. Ignore the torrent of blog and Hacker News posts from the rejected. For some reason, much to Paul’s chagrin I think, Y Combinator has gained a cult-like following. And I don’t mean that like someone who says “Phish has a cult following”, I mean it more like “David Koresh has a cult following”.

As such, those who don’t get accepted often take it very badly. Hell may hath no fury like a woman scorned, but people who didn’t get an interview with Y Combinator are a close second.

You’ll see some hilarious stuff like this thread that says you’d be better off just emailing your business plan to Sequoia anyway. I can assure you, you’ve got a better shot of winning the lottery than getting funding by cold calling Sequoia. I’ve heard from the horse’s mouth that next to no deals are formed that way. They said they wanted to pay more attention to deals that come in over the transom, but they had the same tone of voice I do when I say I want to work out more.

You will also hear a lot of stuff like “Really, who wants to give up so much for a few dollars and a chance to give a presentation?” What’s funny is that it always comes from someone who got rejected, so the technical answer to the question is “You do.”

But beyond that, there’s a lot there other than the money. The presentation is enormously valuable and not to be overlooked, but there’s more still. The contacts and advice are priceless. And the incredible community of your Y C batch and alumni from prior ones may be the most valuable part of the entire experience. I’m still in contact regularly with many of both.

5. Change your name to Matt Maroon. I think we got in just because Jessica liked saying that. Also if you take my past suggestion of bribery, go with wine. And make sure to let ‘em know who sent ya so I get my finder’s fee.

I Knew It

Posted in Stupid Shit I Found On The Web on October 15, 2007 by themaroon

Excuse me while I email this study to my younger brother.

YubNub Is A Steaming Pile

Posted in Opinions You Would Agree With If You Weren\'t An Idiot on October 11, 2007 by themaroon

A friend introduced me to YubNub today. At first I installed the plugin into Firefox and thought it was the greatest thing in the world. Want to search Google Images for Britney Spears? Just type “gim britney spears”. Amazon for a screwdriver? “am screwdriver”. It is, as it says, a command line for the web.

But I quickly ran into a couple usability problems. For one, there’s no customizability. The command “a” takes me to answers.com. I never, ever want to go to that site. Who the hell does? It’s like Wikipedia for retards. I do, however, visit Amazon daily. According to compete.com Amazon has over 4 times the traffic of Answers. Shouldn’t “a” default there?

Second, anyone can create a command, presumably as long as the command’s key combo doesn’t exist. This is both good (in that pretty much any site you’d want to use is covered) and bad in that a lot of three letter words are taken. That’s a problem because the default command, if you don’t use one, is to Google for whatever you type into the box. That’s good because 95% of the time you use that box, it’s for Google.

But after installing YubNub weird things start happening. For instance type in “Rad Rails”. Turns out rad is the command for the weather channel. So you now have to type in “g rad rails” just to Google for it. In maybe twenty queries something like this happened to me three times, and since I hadn’t wanted to query anything but Google on any of them, and each time cost me a few clicks, it was a large amount of wasted effort.

The biggest problem though is that it’s useless. Most of the things you’d search for you can just find easily on Google anyway. For instance when my friend Russ was showing it to us, he wanted to demonstrate it by searching IMDB for Last Action Hero, which was just “i last action hero”. But if you just Google for Last Action Hero what’s number 1 on the list? The IMDB entry. I imagine that’s true for almost any movie you’d ever want to search for.

In fact, I find that to be the case with almost any search. If I want to find something on Wikipedia, it’s almost always the first entry on Google. So if, instead of YubNub, someone just made a plugin that made a hotkey for doing an I’m Feeling Lucky search in the box that’s already there, it would save tons of clicks relative to YubNub, and even a few to just the Google box that’s already there.

Can someone make that please?

MySpace > Facebook

Posted in Opinions You Would Agree With If You Weren\'t An Idiot on October 8, 2007 by themaroon

Unscientific arguments in favor of MySpace:

  1. I signed up for MySpace, searched for people from my high school, found at least 20 (out of a class of under 100). Same search on Facebook turned up 4. Every friend I’ve talked to has had similar experiences.
  2. People always say stupid things like “most MySpace accounts are spam”. Here’s a picture of my inbox, which hasn’t been touched in a month:

    There’s definitely some spam there, in fact, that’s all there is since I don’t really use the site. You can see that every message (including one from 4 days ago) but the latest one (which came in a couple hours before I took the picture) comes from a profile that MySpace has since shut down. It seems virtually unlikely that, if MySpace is that good at shutting down spammers, any significant number of active accounts are spam.

  3. The top 3 apps on Facebook are Top Friends, FunWall, and Super Wall, all of which merely replicate MySpace functionality. Top Friends has 2.8 million users.
  4. Another complaint people have about comparing users is that tons of comedians, rock stars, actors, individual movies, businesses, TV shows, and other pop culture organizations have MySpace accounts and will be your friend. Lots of them use it as a blog and promote it at their shows, and many of them aren’t real people. You might argue this has no value, and that you don’t want to friend people you don’t know, and therefore they shouldn’t count. I totally agree about the first part, but millions of donkeys actually do want to be Dane Cook’s virtual buddy, or have Snakes on a Plane show up in their top friends list. They might not be actual people or friends, but they definitely count.

Don’t get me wrong, I hate MySpace and actually use Facebook. I like it much better for about 100 different reasons. But I’m in the minority and always will be. I’ve also never spent a cent on Facebook or clicked an ad, and can’t think of any reason why I’d be compelled to do either in the future. On that I’m in the vast majority and always will be.

It’s no Google.

MySpace Angles

Posted in Stupid Shit I Found On The Web on October 8, 2007 by themaroon

Hilarious but wrong. But hilarious. Via Reddit.

Facebook Is Kinda OK but Largely Overrated

Posted in Me Thinking So You Don't Have To on October 6, 2007 by themaroon

I really think the funniest thing about Bubble 2.0 is the Facebook hype. I just don’t get it. People are saying it’s the new Google. Microsoft is allegedly going to invest at a $10 billion valuation. I can’t wait until that one bursts and Zuckerberg is left with no choice but to accept a down round because the rest of the world realizes what I did about 3 months ago, which is that Facebook is kinda ok but largely overrated.

Facebook is most certainly not Google. Search is the cornerstone of the internet. I use Google a minimum of ten times a day, and so does everyone. It’s name has become a verb, like Kleenex, though unlike Kleenex Google managed to do it without advertising. There is very little I would ever want to know that I can’t find in seconds on Google. It’s the most life changing technology since the invention of the computer itself.

Not so for social networking. It’s kinda cool to have a place where you can see all of your friends’ contact info, and maybe flirt with some girl (I’m still not sure, but I think that’s what the poke feature is for) and express yourself in that lame “look at what bands and TV shows I like” way, or maybe list a bunch of books you never read to make yourself look smarter than you are (either that or every Target cashier really did read Finnegan’s Wake) but that’s about as far as it goes. It’s nothing that’s going to change your life. It’s not going to bankrupt newspapers and encyclopedias. It might save you from having to call one friend to get another friend’s phone number once in a blue moon, and that’s about it. There’s no killer application for social networks, just a few sorta ok ones and a bunch of annoyance.

And even if there were, MySpace would beat them to it. Facebook will always be second best in terms of monetization and traffic. I know, I’ve seen it happen in online poker. Party Poker always had worse software than PokerStars. Emails to Stars support were always answered in a couple hours, Party Poker took weeks and even then it was usually some Indian guy who just rephrased your question back at you. They were inferior in every way except one, which was that they had 7 or 8 times as many customers.

In poker, like in social networking, people wanted to go where other people already were, and had it not been for the UIGEA (which threw a legal wrench into the industry’s gears) they’d still have the same exact lead over their rivals they had two years ago. The value wasn’t in the software, or the support, or the people running the show. It was in the sheer size of the community.

It was less like Google (whose customers would leave at the drop of a hat if someone built a significantly better mousetrap) and more like eBay. Party Poker jumped out to an early user base lead by marketing more effectively, and the victory in that opening battle won the entire war. The game ended the second their first World Poker Tour advertisement aired.

So it goes with social networking. MySpace will always have more customers than Facebook because MySpace has more customers than Facebook. You don’t sign up at the site that has the nicest home page design or the fastest load times. You sign up at the site that your friends tell you they signed up at.

Also contributing to the hype is the Facebook platform. Platform is the Bubble 2.0 buzz word, which everyone talks about but of whose existence Joe Average is now and ever shall be blissfully ignorant. Facebook’s platform is a much overhyped feature of a much overhyped site, and little more.

It’s also yet another way in which MySpace is superior. They have always allowed you to stick JavaScript in your profile page, so it has always had a platform. And theirs is far easier to develop for than Facebook’s and far less subject to the seemingly capricious and arbitrary restriction enforcement. Photobucket made a fortune off of it, it’s yet to be seen if such a thing could happen on Facebook.

The real test in evaluating something hyped so much is how it’s been integrated into our lives. I’ve not met a single person who couldn’t live without Facebook or any application built on its platform. You meet a few junkies who log into it 5 or 10 times a day, but that’s less often than your average guy uses Google search alone. Throw in Gmail, Maps, etc., and it isn’t even close. Your average person visits Google way more than almost anyone visits Facebook.

If I’m ever somewhere where I can’t access Google, I get a little antsy. I subscribe to a $40 a month broadband plan on my phone just to prevent that from ever happening. And I know a hell of a lot of people in every age group who do the same. But Facebook? “Oh no, I can’t give people digital fish for their aquarium, turn them into a vampire, or update the friend status to let them know I’m totally wasted. Whatever shall I do?”

 

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