Lobbying

Posted in Politics, tech with tags , on January 24, 2012 by themaroon

SOPA is dead, and the tech industry is still not quite elated. They shouldn’t be either, because the root cause hasn’t been addressed. We can say with a high degree of certainty that Congress will be more careful introducing bills that tamper with the internet, but they have many ways of avoiding debate.  They’ll shove something just like it in the back of some anti-terror bill at the last minute and the President will have to sign it.

This is one of the few bad things about bi-partisanship. When something like the need to stop piracy is widely accepted by both parties (SOPA had broad support on both sides of the aisle) and there is campaign funding at stake, they can turn a lobbyist’s email into a law faster than you can blink.

What we in the tech industry really need to fix is lobbying, and to do that we must first fix our worldview. We subscribe to the romantic notion of a meritocratic market.  We shouldn’t. It’s an ideal, but we don’t live in a world of ideals. We live in a world in which politicians make the rules of the game.

Paul Graham, in Y Combinator’s latest request for startup, says of Hollywood:

SOPA brought it to our attention that Hollywood is dying. They must be dying if they’re resorting to such tactics. If movies and TV were growing rapidly, that growth would take up all their attention. When a striker is fouled in the penalty area, he doesn’t stop as long as he still has control of the ball; it’s only when he’s beaten that he turns to appeal to the ref.

This way of looking at it is why SOPA existed in the first place. To mature industries like Hollywood lobbying isn’t an area of focus, it’s a basic business function. This is equivalent to saying “Google must be dying because they have accountants. If they were good at making money they wouldn’t stop to count it.”

Mature industries have lobbyists just like they do janitors, it’s simply something they view as a cost of doing business. I believe the software companies will get there soon.

But fixing the problem (which I’m not optimistic about) is another thing entirely, and no one industry can do this. The root cause is our system of campaign financing. Congressmen accept money from industries because they believe (probably falsely) that money helps keep them in office.

I’ll avoid getting political here because I could rant about campaign finance reform for pages, but the upshot for the tech industry is they need to either fix the game, by lobbying to end lobbying, or learn to play it better by lobbying to uphold their rights. Either way it shouldn’t (and I think in the very near future won’t) be viewed as anything other than a basic business function.

Tech Lobbying

Posted in tech on January 17, 2012 by themaroon

A user wrote a comment I thought was worthy of a reply here:

“Argue that it was written word-for-word by lobbyists and endorsed by the politicians they pay.”

While entertainment and drug companies are certainly pushing hard for this bill to go through, you can bet anything that tech giants like Google and Facebook are lobbying right back at them from the other end, for the obvious monetary reasons. You think those companies are any less seedy and willing to pay off a politician or two?

The fact is that SOPA was introduced to prevent crime. The only legitimate argument against it (which is why I don’t support the bill) is that it will fail spectacularly in preventing what it is intended to do. But I think the intentions of the bill are good and if there was some way to alter it to make it more effective I would support it.

I wouldn’t argue that tech companies are morally superior to drug or media ones for sure. But I would definitely argue that we’ve seen time and again that they are very, very poor at playing the political game.

I think that’s largely due to youth. There haven’t been companies making large amounts of money from the internet for very long. They partially just haven’t figured it out yet. The movie studios have had a century to learn how to abuse our political system. Give Google and Facebook some time.

It’s also due to an undeserved notion of meritocracy. The best service should win, we all feel, not the one best at playing the game.

I think we’ll see a stronger, concerted lobbying arm for Silicon Valley in the not too distant future. That should at least keep ridiculous bills like SOPA from ever becoming a threat.

How Not to Argue Against SOPA

Posted in Politics, Startup, tech, The Internets with tags , on January 13, 2012 by themaroon

I’m still utterly horrified by the SOPA hysteria I mentioned earlier, especially since it’s coming from people who know better. Today’s post on GigaOm about Tim O’Reilly is a good case in point. (And before I go any further, let me state this clearly so it can’t be misconstrued, I’m not arguing in favor of SOPA and PIPA. I think they’re idiotic. I’m arguing in favor of combatting them with rationality rather than hysteria and bad logic.)

O’Reilly makes two points, both of which are simply wrong. The first is…

“Piracy is not a significant problem… Once the market matures, the pirates go away. They always do. Legitimate markets work better than pirate markets.”

This is a common fallacy I see over and over. “The movie companies fought VHS,” you’ll hear, “and it ended up being an enormous source of wealth for them.” True. But that doesn’t mean digital content distribution will.

There’s a standard disclaimer in every mutual fund prospectus that says “past performance is not indicative of future results”. It’s entirely possible (and in fact I believe it to be true) that digital distribution is such a fundamental shift in the nature of piracy that you can’t assume it will simply all pan out OK the way it always has in the past.

In the VHS days to pirate a movie I had to have someone who had two VCRs rent a movie, buy a blank VHS tape, and spend 2 hours copying it for me. The barrier to getting that done is not insubstantial when you consider that every single instance of piracy requires that. It’s not scalable.

Via digital distribution I just have to have someone not delete the torrent. It’s effortlessly scalable to millions of people. It’s not significantly less work to pirate it for anyone involved than it is to purchase it legally, and it is significantly less cost.

Sure, if you’re making books that teach people programming languages, they might be willing to pay. I think its fair to say that the music industry’s results have shown that it just doesn’t work the same way for music.

The second is the notion that SOPA/PIPA will somehow be bad for US-based startups. That would seem to be the case if you didn’t actually read them. The laws clearly apply only to foreign companies. If anything, it will be an unfair advantage for startups here. Rhapsody can perhaps simply get Spotify shut down for infringement (remember, there’s no burden of proof).

O’Reilly says that “If SOPA goes through, it could very well force certain innovative companies to go offshore.” I think the exact opposite is true. Foreign companies will come here to be protected by the DMCA.

And the worst argument of all (and O’Reilly didn’t pull this card) is the slippery slope. This is one of the most insidious logical fallacies around, because at least ad hominems don’t even attempt to masquerade as rational thought. This is the same as saying “if we allow gay people to marry pretty soon it’ll be legal to marry your dog”. It’s been used since time immemorial to argue against every single advance in civil liberties.

A government can’t simply not pass a law just because future laws might overreach. We didn’t need to slide down any slopes to get the PATRIOT Act, and whether or not SOPA passes will have no bearing whatsoever on censorship of legitimate free speech in the future.

So there you have it. If you want to argue against SOPA, there are plenty of good reasons. For one, it won’t stop digital piracy at all. I think it will severely curtail illegal sales of counterfeit goods and prescription medicines, but getting illegal music will just involve editing your hosts file or, more likely, getting a program that does it for you. 

Argue that the lack of any burden of proof makes it absurd in any scenario. Argue that it’s a violation of trade treaties, since it’s clearly showing preferential treatment to U.S.-based businesses. Argue that it was written word-for-word by lobbyists and endorsed by the politicians they pay.

There are so many reasons to dislike these acts that we don’t need to make up more.

Why I Love Android

Posted in Android, Mobile with tags , , on January 11, 2012 by themaroon

Ever since I got the Galaxy Nexus, I’ve been meaning to write up a little post on why I think Android is the cat’s meow these days. I’ve had this sitting in the hopper, title and all, for a week or two. So imagine my surprise this morning when I saw a headline to the exact opposite effect entitled Why I Hate Android on MG Seigler’s blog.

Seigler’s reasons for hating Android are mostly political. In fact he’d be more accurate to say he hates Google than Android, as his problems aren’t with the OS as much as with what Google did to promote it.

I really only have two disagreements with his arguments. First and foremost, this:

Apple, for all the shit they get for being “closed” and “evil”, has actually done far more to wrestle control back from the carriers and put it into the hands of consumers.

Bullshit. Apple wrested control from the carriers and put it into Apple’s hands. Say what you want about net neutrality on mobile networks, but I have no doubt that Apple wants it any more than Google does. They both just want to sell units. You can’t change the search engine in iOS away from the few that pay Apple for placement.

The second is the importance of net neutrality on mobile networks. I feel like the market will solve this problem. With wired internet, like the cable and DSL connections that most of us have only one or two options for, local monopolies and duopolies have ensured that there is no free market at play. With wireless companies I already have four choices of national networks plus regional carriers. And there are companies like Clearwire and Light Squared building nationwide 4g dumb pipes on which anyone with startup costs could one day potentially build a 5th or 6th.

I care about having a neutral net, and the market will provide me one. I wouldn’t be surprised if carriers like Verizon offer two tiers, one neutral (i.e. what they have now) and one discounted where you’re forced to use their selected partners. For instance all your searches might have to go through Bing. I might have to pay a little more for my neutral net, but I’m ok with that.

Anyway, political arguments aside, I can finally say for the first time after about a year and a half on Android that I’m finally recommending it to the non-techies in my life. Up until the Galaxy Nexus I’ve been telling most people who ask me what smartphone they should get (which, as you might imagine, there are quite a few of) to just get an iPhone. No longer, and here’s why.

Android is far more open (hardware).

While I still think the iPhone 4 and 4s are the best looking devices on the market (why does nobody else use metal?) overall I’ll take a big honking Super AMOLED screen any day. Even if the phone looks like a big crappy hunk of plastic when you flip it over, I spend about 99.9% of the time I’m using my phone staring at and interacting with a lit up screen. 

I’ve used the Retina Display (a term I like about as much as “Genius Bar”) quite a bit and it is a huge step up from previous iPhones. But put one side by side with a Super AMOLED and there’s no comparison.

I’ll grant that this might be a personal preference, but that’s the great thing about Android’s hardware openness. Whatever your preference is, its out there. Need a keyboard? (I did until recently.) Check out the Droid 4. Want 4g now, rather than in a year or two (or whenever Apple gets around to it)? Verizon and Sprint have a plethora of options. Are you a power user who can’t get through the day on one battery? Get yourself 2 external batteries and a charger for $30. For my last phone, the original Galaxy S, I was able to pick that up for $8 at one point.

Android is far more open (software).

One of the great things about Android is the relative lack of restrictions as to what APIs apps have access to. For instance an app can intercept calls and text messages. This makes possible call blockers (a godsend for me) and apps like DeskSMS, which lets you view and respond to your text messages over the web. These are impossible on an iPhone without jail breaking. I’m actually kicking around an idea for a really awesome messaging client that would be pretty revolutionary and that would be totally impossible on iOS.

Another huge, huge win for Android is the concept of an intent. Intents let apps interact with each other. For instance a third-party app that creates an image can send it to another app to be edited, the receive it back to store/share. The share menu found in many apps will allow you to easily send something via email, SMS/MMS, Dropbox, etc.

And my favorite example of software openness of all are the third party keyboards. There are two I love in particular. First and foremost there’s Swype. I hate the stock Android virtual keyboard even worse than iOS’s, but with Swype I’ve been able to ditch hardware keypads entirely. It’s still less pleasant when typing, but a lot less so than it used to be, and the other 75% of the time having a thinner and lighter phone makes up for it.

And my most recent addition is the LastPass keyboard. I’ve been using the LastPass plugin with Dolphin Browser for quite some time, but logging into native apps for web services has been a pain. Not anymore. You just switch keyboards, log into LastPass, and it will automagically type in your usernames and passwords for you. For that reason alone I’d rather have an Android tablet than an iPad at this point.

UI/UX

With Ice Cream Sandwich, Android has finally come into its own in terms of aesthetics and functionality. I’ve found previous versions of it to range from slightly annoying to downright infuriating, but ICS is really a drastic improvement.

I love the new improvements to the notifications shade. The soft keys for home, back, and apps are a nice touch, as is ditching that goofy fourth key. The multitasking pane is an improvement over iOS’s (and an even bigger one over Android’s embarrassing older one). The new app drawer feels slicker, and I love the way widgets and the market are so easily accessible from it.

The built-in apps are all leaps and bounds above previous Android versions. Contacts, Email, Gmail, Messaging, etc. all feel better than iOS to me at long last.

There are still some gripes. If you come from iOS you’ll love the back button. If you come from WebOS you’ll just wonder why it never works properly. If there’s one thing WebOS did amazingly well it’s that.

While it’s not an unadulterated win by any means (there are still many things I prefer about iOS) overall I feel like it’s finally the better platform out of the box.

Regardless, even if you prefer iOS over it, there’s a lot to love about Android. While I’d like to give Windows Phone 7 a try at some point I feel like the lack of an ecosystem and relatively underwhelming hardware won’t make that happen any time soon. Who knows what 2012 will bring though.

Rebranding Me

Posted in Me: My Favorite Subject. And Hopefully Yours Too with tags , on January 9, 2012 by themaroon

I’m a pretty big fan of New Year’s Resolutions. I try to make them every year and have a pretty good track record of keeping them. After last year’s, which involved making the biggest decision of my life, any further should be a piece of cake.

This year I’ve got a couple. One is a little too personal to share, but the other I’m happily launching the beta version of right now: I’m going to spend some time working on my personal brand.

We now live in an age where you’re not just a person anymore, you’re a brand. We’re all living largely in the public eye, and even if most of the public doesn’t care about you specifically they might one day. Everything we do has to be viewed through the lens of a brand ambassador.

As a result I’m going to self-promote more. I’ve always been lazy about this because I’ve always felt results should speak for themselves. But that unfortunately isn’t always the way it works. 

So I’m going to focus on that a little. I’m not trying to get a job or become a full-time public speaker, as I’ve got enough going on running my startup to occupy my time. But I am going to try to raise my profile. I realize this is selfish and maybe even a little narcissistic, but it might also be fun and rewarding.

I’m going to start by doing that with this blog. The best way to get a blog really rolling is to focus on a topic and post regularly, so that’s what I’m going to do. It won’t be every day, but it won’t be every few months either.

The topic for this blog will mostly be tech entrepreneurship. I’ll mostly avoid tangents like politics except where they intercept. I really only have maybe three things I have anything interesting to say about these days (the other two being board games and food) and that’s by far the best source of material. I will better maintain my cooking blog too if you’re into that sort of thing and/or just totally want to cyber-stalk me.

I’m debating using Twitter again. I’ve never been able to get into it, but I think that’s also because I’ve never tried the right way. I haven’t made an effort to follow a set of people that would lead to any real discussion. As a result it’s been too easy to dismiss as inane. I’m still not convinced it isn’t, but I might try to find out.

So there you have it. I’m going to try to take a little time to try to turn my personal brand into something. I love the way Fred Wilson has done so, and while I don’t have the time and desire (or at least the incentive) to do so as well as he does, I’m going to do a lot more than the nothing I did last year.

SOPA On a Ropa

Posted in Politics with tags on December 23, 2011 by themaroon

I’ve been reading a lot about SOPA lately, and not much of it has been reasonable on either side of the debate. On one hand you have the media companies who want the ability to take down pretty much any site they feel is infringing their IP that they can’t already sue (ie. ones outside of the United States). That’s not necessarily a goal I’m opposed to, but the lack of any sort of checks on their power as SOPA currently stands is  clearly ludicrous. Some lobbyists earned their paychecks on that one.

On the other hand, you have everyone who runs a website, who is claiming this is the end of the internet as we know it, while simultaneously claiming that it’s toothless because you’ll be able to get around it by simply adding one line to your hosts file. I’m not sure how anything could possibly be the death of the internet and so easily circumvented at the same time, but that’s certainly the argument.

Neither is true tough. Sure, technology will exist to route around some DNS blocking, but it might at least add enough of a barrier to entry to piracy to drive more people to legal services. The fact that most people don’t know how to use bittorrent is the only reason iTunes exists. (If you say selection and/or ease of use I’ll punch you, then show you what.cd.) I feel like I could sooner explain to someone how to pirate a CD right now than to route around a DNS blacklist. SOPA won’t end piracy, certainly, but it will reduce it a bit and increase media industry revenues.

And unless I’m mistaken, SOPA only applies to foreign websites. Reddit these days is full of nothing but self-posts about how Reddit will no longer exist if SOPA passes, and links to animated gifs on imgur.com, both of which are located in the US.

Even if SOPA passes as is, Reddit will be fine. You’ll be fine. I’ll be fine. We’ll all be fine. Besides it would almost have to get struck down by the courts.

Don’t get me wrong, SOPA is a bad thing. In some ways it’s mind-bogglingly ludicrous. A good example is that there’s no requirement of proof, either that the targeted site is actually doing anything illegal, or that the complainant actually owns the IP that’s supposedly being infringed.

But it isn’t worth the ire it’s drawn. I think what we’re seeing is the same anti-government extremists that inhabit social media sites latching onto a hot button issue to further their cause. SOPA sucks and needs to die, but that isn’t where the outrage is coming from. It’s disproportionate and slanted in the usual direction.

This isn’t just anti-lobbyist or anti-media sentiment fueling the fire, it’s good old fashioned anarchy. And we all need to just take a breath and go about getting rid of this atrocity calmly and rationally and without the anti-capitalist ideology. If we can all accept that media companies have a right to exist and charge for and protect the products that they invest billions into making, then perhaps we can work with them to find a framework in which they can still profit in the digital era that doesn’t involve granting them authoritarian powers.

Occupy Wall Street

Posted in Money on October 6, 2011 by themaroon

I have to admit, I’m somewhat fascinated by the Occupy Wall Street protests going on. I’ve seen some people on Facebook making comments like “why don’t they all just get jobs?” or “why are they so angry that some people are rich?” A lot of people just want to know what these people want.

That’s a legitimate question, but these people make even the Tea Party (an umbrella under which you’ll find everything from  billionaire libertarians to anarchists, racists, homophobes, and religious nuts) look organized by comparison. I feel like it’s not fair to say that the movement has a goal because those participating come from such diverse backgrounds and have a widely varying litany of complaints. The only common thread seems to be general frustration about our economy and the financial industry’s role in it.

That at least I find quite understandable. There are two types of people in America these days. Those who think our financial industry is a serious threat to our economic well-being and those who just don’t know anything about it. It’s impossible to have even the slightest clue why we’re in the current economic morass and not believe that without serious change we’re going to end up here time and again. I’m fairly certain many of the guys on Wall Street (who both realize the threat and spend loads of time and lobbying bucks trying to maintain the status quo) would agree.

Our financial industry has evolved from a way to efficiently allocate capital into a casino playing with taxpayer money. Every time the roulette wheel comes up red the investment bankers make millions, and when it comes up black, we taxpayers pay for it. And even though everyone knows this now, we’ve still lacked the political will to fix it. The financial reform of 2010 was a reasonable first step in the right direction, but even that now faces the possible threat of Republican control of Congress and the White House in the near future.

The financial industry and its captive politicians will try to paint the movement as poor people whining and mere class warfare, just as the far left dismisses the Tea Party racist and bigoted. And just as with the Tea Party criticism, that won’t be entirely untrue. But in the end it misses the bigger picture. When candidates say things like "Don’t blame Wall Street. Don’t blame the big banks. If you don’t have a job and you’re not rich, blame yourself," they’re missing the larger point which is that our financial system, not the protestors in Manhattan, is a serious threat to our way of life.

God Allows Mass Murders, To A Point

Posted in Are Religious People Stupid? with tags , on August 10, 2011 by themaroon

A lot of people who read my blog mistake me for a militant atheist, which isn’t really correct. I know a lot of them, and often find that atheism is just as much a religion to them as Christianity is to those they despise.

I can understand their anger. I wrote a bit about it in my most popular post ever, Why Anti-God Books Sell Well. It’s simply a reaction to religious people trying to enforce their beliefs on others through laws and cultural norms based on a bad epistemology. I get it, really. It pisses me off too.

But, like most things, anti-Christian sentiment on the part of atheists is is an oversimplification of the issue. There are plenty of Christians who are pro-choice and in favor of legal gay marriage. And if they’re happy to let me live according to my own value system, I’m happy to let them believe in their old guy with a fuzzy white beard who made the Earth in 6 days before kicking back to watch some football. While I’d love nothing better than to live in a society in which the Sarah Palins and Pat Robertsons are totally marginalized, I’m not going to lump all Christians in with them.

Still, sometimes I’m totally stumped by the logic of believers. A recent example is a guy named Keith Lavery. Mr. Lavery is being called a hero by a lot of people in my area, and I don’t mean to dispute that or belittle what he did. He heard a nut bag shooting innocent neighbors so he grabbed his gun and went out and helped a cop who had come to the scene shoot the mass murderer. Pay attention Stephen Colbert, you’ve got next week’s Alpha Dog right there.

But watching the interview I was stunned to find he believed his reaction was part of God’s plan. He said God "brings the right people together at the right time to do the right thing." This was after the nut job killed 7 people, including an 11 year old boy he chased down. I find it hard to believe God was involved in the timing there. What he’s saying, essentially, is that God allowed the first 7 murders before deciding it was enough.

If I really believed in God, and that he allowed that, I think I’d be pretty pissed. What happened, though, had nothing to do with providence and everything to do with circumstance. A guy was in a tough position, through an extremely unlikely coincidence, was trained to handle that situation, and made a decision to risk his life to help out even though he could have stayed inside with his son. God had nothing to do with Keith Lavery helping to stop a mass murderer. Mr. Lavery should simply take the credit he deserves for being an upstanding citizen and not credit Sky Daddy with the save on that one.

The Epistemology of Food

Posted in Food/Beverage on April 28, 2011 by themaroon

 

One thing I spend way too much time on is food. If you don’t believe me, see my new cooking blog. I’m running an experiment in which I plan to cook 100 meals from cookbooks published by excellent chefs in one year and blog each one of them. I hope to also write about my personal history with food and cooking, as well as what I learn along the way. I’ve actually cooked a lot more dishes than I have posted, I just haven’t had time to write them all yet, but I’m on track.

Anyway, in addition to food I’ve been concerned with diet for quite some time. Unfortunately the more you read about what you’re supposed to eat the more frustrated you get. You come to realize quickly that there are some deep epistemological issues with nutrition. People get their information from a combination of science (good and bad, but mostly bad) and lobbying money, and science funded by lobbying money.

So when I see stuff like this extremely popular article I read recently, Eating Healthy for $3 A Day, in which the author strives to “eat healthy” by using the same USDA guidelines that have led us straight into an obesity epidemic I cringe. He’s using caloric ratios determined by our government and doesn’t seem even remotely cognizant where they come from or what effect they’ve had on the populace over the last 30 years. I hope for his sake this is just a brief experiment.

If you want to read a great article about just one small piece of the dietary puzzle, here’s one from the New York Times in 2002 with the best name ever: What if It’s All Been a Big Fat Lie? It’s about the interplay between science (both good and bad), Dr. Atkins, and government health recommendations.

The short story, and you should know this, is that in the 1970’s a link was theorized between saturated fat and cholesterol. Cholesterol was believed at the time to cause heart disease, so by the transitive property of bad science it was decided that saturated fat causes heart disease. (We now know the cholesterol-heart disease link itself is not that simple; there are two types of cholesterol and one appears to actually prevent heart disease, but at the time it was considered a slam dunk. Unfortunately it turned out to be a slam dunk in the much the way WMDs in Iraq did.)

As a result the government and medical institutions like the AMA gathered together and decided to recommend replacing calories from fat with calories from carbohydrates. Unfortunately it was bad science. The last decade since that article was written has essentially proven that if medicine had the same standards as, say, economics, that link would never have been considered valid in the first place and certainly wouldn’t have become the basis for government recommendations and regulations. Meta-studies have shown no statistically significant impact of saturated fat from meats on heart health. Tons of individual studies have been published with mixed results.

Also there’s a distinct correlation between the switch from fat to carb calories in the western diet and the rise of obesity, diabetes, and heart disease. Hilariously in our attempts to become healthier we did things like cutting out butter, which contains a mix of saturated and unsaturated fats that may in fact be healthy, for margarine which contained trans-fats which, it turns out, are one of the few things we know for sure are really bad for you. We ditched meat but replaced it with preservatives and sugar, largely from high fructose corn syrup.

Interestingly when I talk to people most still believe firmly that saturated fat is unhealthy. My generation grew up hearing that. Two plus two is four, and red meat will give you a heart attack if you eat too much of it. These are things we just accept because we’ve been told that by people who should know. In reality it turns out that, while saturated fat in some quantity may be bad for you, we just don’t know. It may also be good for you. The results are wildly inconclusive. The one thing we do know for sure is that cutting out carbs leads to weight loss, which is a really strong indicator that we’re eating too many of them.

But really there’s a pretty good chance we’ll never know much of anything for sure because diets are zero sum. People have to eat something. If people eat less fat and more carbs and then they start getting sick (which is undoubtedly what has happened in the last 30 years) why is that? Is it because of the reduction in fat, or the increase in carbs, or because some nature-intended balance got thrown off? Is it because the fat came from meat which is also high in protein, iron, zinc, and various vitamins and now they’re not getting enough of those? Is it because most of the carbs comes from prepared foods loaded with preservatives and high fructose corn syrup? Even if they just cut out fat and didn’t add carbohydrates, and assume they can get the rest of what’s missing from multi-vitamins (which, by the way, are statistically proven to have zero impact on health) now we don’t know if they’re getting sick because they’re just not eating enough.

This is the main failing of nutritionism. Science has given us this idea that it’s not about what foods you eat but what nutrients. If we could just get the right combinations of nutrients, we’ve come to believe, we’ll be fine and would be even if we got them from a pill. Of course, scientists also discover a new nutrient multiple times a year. When I was a kid nobody knew what lycopene was. Now every bottle of anything containing tomatoes is touting its benefits.

So if you want to think about diet, you have to do it holistically. You have to think in terms of what foods the human animal is designed to eat. There are a few ways to do this.

First, you can look at remote tribes of people who haven’t been told about things like carbohydrates and saturated fat. What do they eat, and, when you control for the many causes of death they suffer from that we don’t, are they healthier? As bad as carbohydrates may be for you, a guy who eats bean burritos and ice cream all day is still going to live longer than a guy who gets his water from a river.

It turns out they eat lots of two things: green vegetables and lean red meat. Interestingly, they eat them in vastly different quantities. Some tribes are almost all gatherers, some eat almost no vegetation, and most are somewhere in between. They don’t eat preservatives. They’ve never heard of sodium benzoate. They don’t know what bread is. Their diets actually look a bit like Dr. Atkins’ recommendations, though without all of the silly phases. When you’ve never even heard of rice or ice cream it turns you don’t need very many rules.

The human body is remarkably flexible when it comes to diet which is, undoubtedly, one of our most significant adaptations. In fact this is a second way we can figure out what we should be eating, by comparing ourselves to similar animals. Our teeth and digestive systems are a perfect hodgepodge of carnivore and herbivore. Both are clearly able to process large amounts of both meat and vegetables, which is not common in the animal world. The size and nutrient requirements of our brain indicate we’re meant to eat at least a decent amount of meat.

I think the best you can do, really, is to not overthink it. The human body is remarkably resilient; small quantities of anything are unlikely to have long-term negative effects. Stay away from processed foods and you’ve already taken a big step. Try to reduce carbohydrate intake, but don’t worry too much about eliminating it. If you’re out at a nice restaurant then sure, have a little bread and maybe a desert, but don’t keep it in your house regularly.

Just keep your calories low and stick to food that is, well, food. Avoid eating things humans were clearly not designed for, like refined carbs and preservatives, and just accept the fact that beyond that you’ll never really know what you should or shouldn’t be eating so save your brainpower for the stuff that can make a difference.

Why The Amazon App Store Is Revolutionary

Posted in Mobile on March 31, 2011 by themaroon

When I heard that Amazon was building an app store for Android I was skeptical. I don’t know why, I’m about as big an Amazon fanboy as has ever existed. I’ve been buying everything I can from them (which today includes even basic toiletries and food) since probably 1999. I signed up for Prime shortly after it was introduced and have had it ever since. I love my Kindle so much that I’ve thought about arranging a wedding with it in Connecticut, the only state where marriage between a man and a gadget is legal.

Still, something about the idea of a secondary app store that you had to install through the primary app store (or, as it turns out, an even more confusing channel) just sounded a little too goofy to be true. You also have to allow side-loading of apps, which while not a problem for people like me isn’t something 95% of users have done. AT&T even blocks it entirely on their devices.

And, let’s be honest, Amazon doesn’t have a track record of making good-looking, highly functional products. Their website is still an eyesore to this day, even though it’s come a long way in the last few years. It’s got a lot of functional problems too. It often recommends to me things virtually identical to something I just bought. It has a link on the side to filter a search to only items that are eligible for Prime, but when you click it still many items that are ineligible remain. You shop at Amazon because it’s cheaper and easier than going to the store, more reliable than finding things from various merchants through Google Shopping, and has excellent customer service. You don’t shop there because it’s good looking, but good looking sells mobile apps.

Last week it launched and I have to say I was dead wrong. Amazon knocked this one out of the park. It had never occurred to me just how much better than Google’s app market Amazon’s could be. I think Amazon’s is even better than Apple’s. It’s the best looking and most usable Amazon product I’ve ever seen by far.

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I’ve written before on my company’s blog about why the Android Market sucks. I don’t really believe that it’s going to improve very much. I think Google has a culture of organizational arrogance and while they admit they could be doing a better job on the app market, they don’t realize how much better and they have no idea why. They think their store is an 8 out of 10 and needs to be a 10, when really it’s a 2. I could go on about this for hours, but there’s no sense flogging a dead horse.

The Amazon market is a clear winner for Android’s many constituents. First there are customers. When I installed the Amazon App Store, which has a small fraction of the apps the Google App Market does, I was immediately struck by how many high production-value games there were. I never knew it because I never saw any of them in the Google store. That store just has the same crappy tower defense game, Fruit Ninja, Angry Birds, and Paper Toss day in and day out.

Carriers too stand to gain. From my conversation with a Google employee at GDC, I’m pretty sure that carriers are getting a chunk of the revenue from app markets on all smartphone OSes, including iOS. A better market means more revenue for them plain and simple, both from apps and handset sales. I expect to see Amazon make long-term deals with carriers to get OEMs to install their market by default on devices.

OEMs will benefit by gaining freedom. While Android is an open source OS, the most important app on it, the App Market, is not. It’s proprietary and owned by Google. The App Market has so far been Google’s method of controlling OEMs. For instance in future versions of Android, Google is believed to be mandating that OEMs use the native Android UI by default. Motorola, Samsung, and HTC all have their own UIs right now that they might not be wanting to part with since Android’s stock one is so poor.

With a viable second app store Google loses a good portion of its hold on OEMs. A smartphone OS without an app market is worthless. But if Amazon’s becomes a viable competitor (and it probably is already) then OEMs can tell Google where to stick their app market.

Moreover, they’re now possibly no longer even stuck with Android at all. If Amazon manages to get all of the big players to participate in their App Store, then all any upstart OS has to do is make a deal with Amazon and ensure that Android apps can run on their ecosystem. The RIM Playbook is proving that this is quite possible technically. You’ll never get Google Market on a Blackberry OS (not without lawsuits flying) but you might get the Amazon App Store full of Android apps.

The biggest winners, though, will be developers. Right now despite the fact that Android is a larger ecosystem than iOS, the poor App Market has held it back from seeing much development. iOS apps are simply outselling Android by an order of magnitude. I saw an article last week about something like 8 apps that have made over a million dollars on Android. There will probably be 8 apps that pull in that much revenue today on iOS.

Even Google wins, though they won’t see it that way. If they’re getting little to no revenue from the App Market themselves, which I suspect is the case, they’d be far better off letting a third party handle it. They’re better off having a vibrant app ecosystem on Android coming from a market they don’t control than a crappy ecosystem from one they do. At the end of the day its really apps that sell these phones. Apple’s slogan isn’t “there’s probably a website that could accomplish that” for a reason.

I’ll go ahead and make the bold claim that the Amazon App Store will be the primary driver of app sales on Android within a year. This is the most important thing to happen to smartphones since the original App Store on iOS.

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